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05
Feb

Adios Davos

I went to Davos (on Zoom) A small town in Switzerland rejoices as world leaders don’t visit. Remember Davos? The big pow wow for the rich and famous in the Swiss Alps. Well you haven’t heard about it because this year it happened on Zoom. That’s right, Davos is now called Zoom. Without the private jets, the

29
Jan

Distressed assets

Distressed assets What would you say if I tried to sell you this company: The Basics Revenue: $3.3 trillion Enterprise value: $177 trillion Valuation: 53x revenue Revenue growth: negative Age: 244 years old Debt: at a 70 year high   Accounting irregularities The company is very well connected and uses different accounting rules to everyone

21
Jan

Welcome to Wall Street

Grayscale This is what it hitting it out of the park looks like. Grayscale now has $22 billion under management in their cryptocurrency funds, up from $2 billion 12 months ago. Can they get to $100 billion? I think so, faster than people think too. Even more compelling is the nature of the investors. In

14
Jan

America for sale

The end of the empire Much as I don’t like to admit it, the end of the US empire was accurately called 30 years ago by Coca Cola salesman Warren Buffett. In 1990 he raised the alarm about net international investment in America turning negative, noting that America was being “sold out” to foreigners. The path to

07
Jan

A visitor from space

A visit from an alien If an alien visited plant earth and wished to make a purchase, which explanation of money and value would the alien believe? Money 1: Has a publically auditable record of every transaction ever; Has an absolutely known supply at all times in the present and future; Can only be mined by

18
Dec

The Bitcoin Pitch Deck

Bitcoin never had a pitch deck, the code was simply released into the wild and it went from there. As a parting gift for 2020, here is what one might look like.

11
Dec

Down

Falling Down Almost everything in the world is going up at the moment, apart from interest rates and Joe Biden’s IQ. We posted this chart earlier in the year about professional analysts expectations for rates and how they seem to be perpetually wrong. Everyone thinks they will rise and they seemingly refuse to. It seems

20
Nov

A very clever moron

A multi-asset portfolio As of December 2019 a balanced portfolio, based on global market capitalisation, would have looked something like this. 41% equity, 25% bonds, 20% investment grade credit and then the rest. At its current market capitalisation of $325 billion bitcoin would represent 0.24% of this portfolio. It would not show up on the

13
Nov

District 14

District 14 She did not wait long. Immediately after Biden was declared winner and having laid low for 6 months while the election battle raged, the truce ended. The Representative of the 14th New York district, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, raged against the Democrat machine. “The people who elected Biden will now be forgotten, he will swing

05
Nov

President Harris

President Harris? A few weeks back I said I marginally preferred a Biden victory from the perspective of the performance of our funds. Essentially, we are operating the funds as a hedge against the collapsing financial system and our 100% + returns in just over two years show that it is working. If our funds